Kerby Anderson
When you make an investment, it is important to know if there is any counterparty risk. Any business involves a cooperation of many entities and individuals. How likely is it that one of them may default on their financial obligations?
Here’s a scary question: what if the counterparty is your bank or the government? That may be less likely here in the US, but is becoming a reality ever since the 2013 banking crisis in Cyprus created the concept of the bail-in.
A recent article in Fortune describes that as a form of financial relief for banks that are in danger of collapsing or going bankrupt. “The relief comes from canceling some or all of the bank’s debt by reducing the value of bank shares, bonds, and uninsured deposits.” In case you are wondering, this has been made possible in Europe under a new framework and in the US under 2010 the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act.
But even if the bank isn’t failing, the government still has the power to freeze a bank account or any other financial account. The best example comes from Canada. Last February, the Canadian government began freezing the accounts and canceling credit cards of anyone involved in the trucker protests.
One commentator explained what it takes to freeze an asset. Stocks-press a button. Bonds-press a button. Mutual funds-press a button. Cash in the bank-press a button. Of course, that is just a short list.
Decades ago, someone said that you only think you own your house, until you don’t pay your taxes. We could add that you only think you own your stocks, bonds, or cash until the government says you don’t. Citizens in other countries are learning this. Let’s hope we don’t ever see that here in America.

Kerby Anderson
Americans are starting to realize how much privacy they are losing. It isn’t just the government through surveillance that is invading our privacy. Major corporations are collecting information on us, even when we aren’t sharing it online. Here is a classic example of that.
Twenty years ago, the Target Corporation was able to conclude that a shopper was pregnant and even estimate her due date. The story was written up in the New York Times and has become a classic example of targeted marketing. The article had the arresting title, “How Companies Learn Your Secrets.”
A data scientist at Target began to analyze the massive database Target stores were amassing from the purchases of their customers. He began to mine the data and discovered a few interesting things about Target customers.
He discovered, for example, that pregnant women are more likely to buy unscented lotion, and that they start doing this at the beginning of their second trimester. This correlation between pregnancy and changes in shopping behavior was one of about two-dozen data points he and the other analysts were able to identify.
When they combined all these correlations together, they were able to establish a “pregnancy prediction” score. This score told them two things. First, the female consumer was pregnant. Second, it also gave them a good estimate of her due date.
The value to Target was considerable. They were able to send coupons to the woman during different times in her pregnancy so that they would arrive when she was most likely to need them. The timing of the coupons brought more pregnant women into Target stores to use them.
This marketing success story illustrates how big data and sophisticated data analysis can invade your privacy without you providing any information. Whether you click on a link online or buy a product in the store, someone is watching.